Here's my guess on the final result in Kona this year:
Men:
1. Andreas Raelert
2. Craig Alexander
3. Marino Vanhoenacker
4. Faris Al-Sultan
Raelert has last year's result eating away at him for 12 months. He will not compromise anything this year. I figure he will follow shortly behind Craig as he eats away minutes from Lieto and Vanhoenacker and then take the lead to finish in the last 6K. Faris isn't gunning to win (even though he should be) and will place high just from the lack of pressure and general enjoyment of racing fast.
Women:
1. Mirinda Carfrae
2. Caroline Steffen
3. Chrissie Wellington
4. Julie Dibbens
Chrissie is a IM god but I don't think it is meant to be her year in Kona. That recent crash will slow her down on the bike and run just enough to open the door for Mirinda to smash through to the finish with a sub-2:40 run. Caroline will finish just seconds in front of a suffering Chrissie.
Ok, so all of the above is generally a load of crap because anything could happen on race day. I'll be glued to ironmanlive.com and would really like to see Faris and Granger step it up and take the top of the podium (although I can't pick them as winners due to their recent interview statements indicating they are a bit laaa deee daaa this year.)
Will be a good show.
Good luck to all racing. Smash it.
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